Vikings will be the worst team in the NFL this year, one group of experts conclude

Categories: Vikings
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Paul Allen -- KFAN host, Vikings radio play-by-play guy, and noted homer -- preaches the gospel of #faith to Vikings fans and this morning picked the Purple to make it all the way to the NFC Championship Game (and possibly the Super Bowl).

In related news, water is wet.

SEE ALSO: Disappointed Vikings fans should prepare to pack on a few pounds this year, study says

But the football website that is known for approaching NFL projections with a higher dose of rationality than perhaps any other has a very different outlook on the Purple's 2013 season, which kicks off this Sunday in Detroit.

In fact, Football Outsiders, which bases it's projections on a sophisticated algorithm that simulates the season 10,000 times over, literally expects the Vikings to be the worst.

Football Outsiders projects the Vikings to finish with 5.7 wins this season, the least in the NFL by a good margin (the second fewest projected mean wins belongs to St. Louis with six on the nose).

FO also pegs the Vikings to have the lowest playoffs odds of any team at a dismal 4.9 percent.

So what gives? During a Q&A with the Daily Norseman Vikings blog, a Football Outsiders representative explained their pessimism about the Vikes thusly:
Our projection system is based on regression; the focal point of the Vikings excellent season in 2012 was the completely insane numbers of one Adrian Peterson. You are free to doubt that at your own risk after last season, and I have my own suspicions as well, but Peterson hasn't ever been the healthiest player in the league. The only other place we have the Vikings really taking a tumble is on special teams, where Percy Harvin's absence will be felt and they made a giant leap forward in 2012. That, and the toughest schedule in the NFL, are what we have holding down the Vikings this year.
Of course, that response doesn't even acknowledge the elephant in the room -- namely, that Christian Ponder looked like he was on a one-man mission to sabotage AP's historic season for much of last year.

On the other hand, regression might prove to be nothing but a word for the beast otherwise known as Adrian Peterson, and in fairness to Paul Allen, he was one of the few who accurately projected the Vikings to go 10-6 and make the playoffs last year: #Faith, indeed.

-- Follow Aaron Rupar on Twitter at @atrupar. Got a tip? Drop him a line at arupar@citypages.com.


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31 comments
Kent Erickson
Kent Erickson

This website hasn't heard of the Jacksonville Jaguars apparently.

aaron666nyc
aaron666nyc

then you know what?  let them move to LA!  if youre so down on your team, then let them leave.  if you fought hard to keep them here then godamm appreciate it and stop doomsdaying, or basically talking shit like an insecure little 7th grader (no offense to the cool 7th graders reading this).  vikings fans have a serious reputation of being the WORST fairweather fans in the country.  thats right, people everywhere are talking shit ABOUT YOU, because of how fake you are.  you liked it so you put a ring on it.  dont turn around and be a passive agressive emotionally abusive spouse

wil_simon
wil_simon

Curious as to whether Rupar has ever written a football related article with anything positive to say.  Rupar, you should start every Vikings piece you write with, "I hate the Minnesota Vikings", or "Football is stupid to me". 

Katsi Duzynski
Katsi Duzynski

why DON'T they JUST sell the goshdarned team and put the TAXPAYERS out of their MISERY?

Jeff Skinner
Jeff Skinner

Computer projections don't mean crap. The game is played on a gridiron, not a series of 0's and 1's And if history repeats, the Vikes will go deep in the playoffs. Happens every year they're picked to finish in the basement.

kennyX
kennyX

If AP has to carry this team (again) and gets injured (which could be likely), I will predict .500 with no playoff chances. As long as Ponder is at the helm of this losing team, #fail, don't expect much.  

Lynn Maris
Lynn Maris

This doesnt inspire me to support the stadium - lol

Tanya Ertle
Tanya Ertle

Oh yea, hipsters posted this! #posers

Jeff Cagle
Jeff Cagle

These are probably the same "experts" who believe that Green Bay and New England are God's gift to football. I always enjoy seeing them put in their place when their predictions don't pan out.

slats13
slats13

PA must have gotten into Dubay's stash again

Shawn Kuiper
Shawn Kuiper

Ah what are they experts in? Obviously not football I can think of 5-10 teams that will be worse stupid

Dee Finkelson
Dee Finkelson

Its OK... there always be the next season ..LOL

Tony Samuelson
Tony Samuelson

lol there is also a team in the league named the Jets who will be 0-16.

Charles Awad
Charles Awad

That is absolutely preposterous. The Raiders are rife with sub-expansion talents. I'm not even going to entertain clicking this.

kennyX
kennyX

@wil_simon 

Well, apparently, football was stupid to the Vikings today.

ajlalk3
ajlalk3 topcommenter

@slats13 You're a classy individual. I am sure nobody you know, love, or care about has ever struggled with addiction.

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