Minnesota elections

Oh, Dear Lord!

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Posted by Bradley Campbell at July 23, 2008 7:33 AM | Comments (1)

Is Minnesota Really a Battleground State?

Filed under: Minnesota elections

Battleground states in presidential elections have all the fun. Candidates flatter them with attention. Media hordes breathlessly monitor their every electoral whim. Expensive TV ads flood the airwaves.

Minnesota is widely considered to be a battleground state, based on the last two presidential contests here, when Democrats Al Gore and John Kerry squeaked out razor-thin victories over George Bush by 2 and 3 points, respectively.

But is this really a national battleground?

The latest Rasmussen poll released last Friday shows Sen. Barack Obama with a hefty 13-point lead over Sen. John McCain for the third month in a row. A recent Star Tribune poll shows Obama with the same margin.

By comparison, many other supposed battleground states are close contests already, according to Rasmussen: McCain by a point in Ohio, Obama by 2 points in Pennsylvannia, 2 points in Wisconsin, a point in Missouri.

True, the Republican National Convention in St. Paul will bring Minnesotans all the media attention we can stand, but when the conventions are over, are we destined to be standing on the outside of election relevance, looking in?

Don't count on it, says the state Republican Party. "Polls are a snapshot in time, and things will change a lot between now and election day," says GOP Communications Director Gina Countryman. "Minnesotans have a long record of supporting candidates with an independent, maverick streak," she says, and McCain's record should be attractive to them. McCain's early TV commercials here, and his visit yesterday for a fundraiser and town hall meeting, show that his campaign believes Minnesota is in play.

Interestingly enough, the DFL state party's executive director agrees. "It's absolutely a battleground state," says Andrew O'Leary. " I think it's too early for us or anybody to be taking states off the map. Yeah, there's a 13-point spread between Obama and McCain now, but we don't know where that's going to be in November."

Continue reading "Is Minnesota Really a Battleground State?"

Posted by Matt Smith at June 20, 2008 11:59 AM | Comments (4)