Search:
.

National Features >

  • Houston Press

    Hate to Say We Told You So

    A year before Toyota's massive recall, we published a lengthy investigation of problems with the Prius.

    By Paul Knight

  • Miami New Times

    Sex, Drugs, Gambling--and Football

    Heading to Miami for the Super Bowl? Don't leave the hotel without our guide to vice in the Magic City.

    By Michael J. Mooney and Gus Garcia-Roberts

  • Phoenix New Times

    The Greatest Dane

    Bigger than Shaq and proud of it, the world's tallest dog may be living in Tucson.

    By James King

City Pages - Balls! Sports Blog

« Previous Post | Main | Next Post »

MLB first half impressions, predictions and musings

Filed under: MLB

Brevity is exercised in today’s introduction. Here are my MLB impressions from the first half of the season:

National League

berkman.jpg

He nice
Lance Berkman
While Chipper Jones has received most of the batting average ink for his early run at .400 (now at .376), the Phillies have plugged the HR leaderboard with Howard/Utley/Burrell, and Hanley Ramirez has been the sexy mid-season MVP choice for admirably keeping Florida in the NL East race -- the accomplishments of the Houston’s Lance Berkman continue to get little liftoff outside of ardent baseball circles. Currently ranked third in batting (.347), 8th in home runs (22) and 3rd in RBI (72), Berkman has a very legit shot to become the NL’s first Triple Crown winner since Joe Medwick in 1937. Also notable is Berkman’s 15 steals. His previous career best was 9 back in ’04. Yeah, the dude’s team sucks (at least the pitching), but for a guy with a lifetime .304 average and nearly 1,400 hits, Berkman makes his 5th career All-Star appearance in his 9th full season this year. Another fine year for another great Astro who will likely never don a ring (see: Craig Biggio).

K.%20Greene.jpg

What the Hell …
Ever happened to Khalil Greene? Something of a random, I realize, but I personally felt the Padres were up for a strong postseason run in ‘08, and believed this dude was one of the cornerstones. But alas, for the 13th pick back in ‘02 who led his Clemson club to the College World Series and then started 20 ballgames in the Bigs the ensuing season, Greene -- as per his club’s geography-- is near the border, bro. And we’re not talking Tijuana fun. Rather, Greene is hitting a meager .217 for San Diego, worst among regular MLB shortstops by almost 40-points. He’s also dead last in on base percentage and second-to-last in on base-plus-slugging. Although he’s hit 8 bombs, there’s no way he’ll near the 27 he rocked last season. Long known for his slick glove, with his 7 errors combined with the aforementioned, the only thing slick about Greene today is his name, meaning “friend,” which, at this rate, may be declining in number.

Club Up
Over the course of the last month, the Brewers have captured the NL upstart vibe over Florida, especially after their acquisition of C.C. Sabathia. However, take a look at the standings, and they’re third in the Central, a ½ game behind St. Louis. Nobody really seems pumped up about the Cardinals, and given their anonymous/spare parts/oft-injured lineup, it’s amazing that they’re 53-43. With a winning mark both at home and on the road, Tony LaRussa, anchored by Albert Pujols, is again proving that he’s one of the best four skippers in baseball. As if being 3rd all-time in managerial wins wasn’t enough.

Club Down
Having already alluded to the Padres playing more like Madres, Colorado also needs to be called out at a dismal 39-57. At the onset of the season, I thought the NL West may be the best division in the Bigs, however mid-July finds all five teams below .500. The Rockies put together an inspiring late-season charge to reach the Series in ’07. It looks like they’re still reeling from getting swept by Boston.

I have a gambling problem
I’m taking:
Chicago over N.Y. (Wild card)
Philly over L.A.
Chicago over Philly for the NL Pennant


American League

kinsler.jpg

He nice
Texas’ Josh Hamilton has received the well-deserved pub for finally collecting more RBI than tattoos. But his teammate, 2B Ian Kinsler has truly had a remarkable 93 games. Kinsler reminds me of Jeff Kent in his prime, but with far more speed. Both had average gloves, but offer marked production from what is traditionally considered a defensive position. Kinsler currently leads the AL in batting at .337 (14 points over Morneau, 15 over Mauer), has a league-best 134 hits and an AL-topping 84 runs. Nobody else has 68. In addition, moving around the bases has also been in Ian’s wheelhouse as evidenced by his 23 steals. Lastly, he sports a current, 25-game hit streak, longest in the bigs this year. Texas, led by this leadoff rock, may have the best 1-4 lineup in baseball. With an AL-worst 5.10 ERA, they need it.

Silva.jpg

What the Hell …
Ever happened to Carlos Silva? Yeah, Carlos tossed a quality start, no decision on Sunday, but after signing for 4 years and nearly $50 million in Seattle, Silva is making the Twins look pretty damn smart for letting him go. At 4-11, he’s tied for the second most losses in baseball. Furthermore, he sports a near career-worst WHIP of 1.46, a ballooned ERA of 5.46 (45th in the AL alone), and with 19 walks the longtime control freak will surely usurp his career ceiling of 37 back in ‘03. “The Chief” is off the reservation, and a big fat reason why the Mariners are 20 games out before August.

Club Up
Oakland has been graced with ample positivity given their no-name lineup and 51-44 start, but with Rich Harden and Chad Gaudin off to the Cubs, their slide will begin soon enough. Tampa was the deserved story of first half baseball until their current 7-game slide squeezed the juice out of Tropicana, and dropped the Rays back in second. For my dollars -- and I don’t feel I’m being a homer here-- the story is truly the Twins. Supplementing Livan, Blackburn and Gomez for Santana, Silva and Hunter, the club is 4 games better than they were last year at this time. The young starting staff has been brilliant, having compiled 52 quality starts, good for fourth in the AL, and the entire club have surrendered just 226 walks, best in the majors (Texas has given up nearly 400). Some guys could be maxing out potential (i.e., Casilla, Buscher, Harris, even Kubel), but there is so much room for growth that if the studs keep clubbing and the staff consistently keeps opponents under 4, then perhaps my predication below will find fruition.

Club Down
See: Above. Along with Silva, Seattle has been a major let-down. No team with Bedard, Washburn, Silva, Ichiro, Beltre, Ibanez, and the now-departed Richie Sexson should be more than 20 games below .500. Yet, with an AL- worst 374 runs, they just can’t score enough to right the ship. I picked ’em for the Wild Card, a forecast that’s now way out to sea.

I have a gambling problem
I’m taking:
Boston over Chicago (Wild Card)
L.A. over Minnesota
Boston over L.A. for AL Pennant

…And a final caveat from the first half:

A little more than a month back, baseball held a ceremonial Negro Leagues Draft that ran concurrent to the MLB amateur draft. The idea was credited to our own Dave Winfield, and while I know I have ample company in my respect for Winny, perhaps I’m in solitary company by saying that the concept was, for lack of a more mature term: dumb. Baseball has likely done more to combat racism than any other American sport. Yet, I just find it hard to imagine that, say, the offspring of Bill “Lefty” Bell -- who was ceremonially “drafted" by the Twins -- were bouncing around the living room howling, “Lefty got drafted! Lefty got drafted!” Baseball’s continued efforts to right the wrongs of our country’s past are important in virtue and honorable in spirit. However, the present of our game -- with now less than 9% black players -- seems to me to be of more immediate concern. In 1997 that number was nearly double. The past is important, the future is imminent.

UPDATE: Justin Morneau Wins Home Run Derby:

After battling his way to the Home Run Derby final round at Yankee Stadium on Monday night with a steady stream of long balls, Justin Morneau outlasted Texas’ Josh Hamilton to win the pre All-Star game event. Hamilton bombed a record 28 homers in Round 1 -- compared to 8 for Morneau -- however in the freshly-tallied Finals, Morneau’s 5 homers stood atop the mere 3 for the obviously drained Ranger.

Posted by Judd Spicer at July 14, 2008 3:02 PM

« A Man Named Brett | Main | The worst intersections in Minneapolis: Vol. 1 »

Comments

Great article. Way to go Morneau. Although the home run derby is as meaningless as the All-Star game should be.

Posted by: Johhny Bench at July 15, 2008 8:19 AM

as usual you are right on the mark. i really like the reference to "ducky" joe medwick as it showed your research ability. also the tatoo to hit ratio with hamilton was a very nice touch. all i can say is that they must be smoking lots of dope in seatle to give silva 44 million dollars. keep up the quality work.

Posted by: duke at July 15, 2008 9:25 AM

So you are taking the Twins to win the Central? I believe that to be true, as well - such a fun bunch.
Seattle is playing poorly, yes, but my 'club down' for the AL is the Tigers - what a bunch of under-achievers - one of the scariest line-ups this side of the Bronx and can't seem to get any hits. Will they come out of their coma and give the Sox and Twins some trouble in the second half - hope not. Verlander is now hitting his stride, but Sheff? Last time I checked he was just North of .220 - someone please get that guy some roids...

Posted by: Ryan Malone at July 15, 2008 12:41 PM

Duke- If you have relevant contacts in Seattle, please let me know ...

Ryan- Yeah, I am taking the Twins in the Central. Please don't think me homerish for now doing so. But I truly believe that in the Division at this time, we can count on the following for the 2nd Half: Cleveland and K.C. are toast, Detroit's old guys will stay old, their hurt guys will be inconsistent, their youth (sans this Joyce kid, who I like) won't make a big impact, and their pitching will be average. Our pitching is better than average. Will it stay that way? I say yes. Mauer/Morneau/Nathan will do their thing, Young will have enough good days, Monroe will find occasional pop, Casilla/Gomez/Span will keep crazy legs, and the rest will be consistently acceptable. Chicago, in my mind, will find the Wild Card. Player-for-player, I just like us better. Konerko seems really funky, Swisher hasn't been on base enough, and Quentin can't keep up his pace this whole year. Ozzie Guillen may be nuts, but I think think he's still a top skipper. In '08, Gardy will just be a little crazier.

Posted by: Judd at July 15, 2008 6:19 PM

Extremely well-researched article - JS definitely has great baseball insight and a finger on the pulse of the sport. He nice

Posted by: Brit at July 15, 2008 7:41 PM

That was some game - us West coasters had the ability to watch it in its entirety. I give the Twins representatives an A+ - Mauer goes 1 for 1, Morneau was a stud at 2 for 4 and the game winning run - I thought he was going to win it when he grounded out with the bases juiced...nonetheless, a lot of bad calls by the umps, but great great plays were made all around - a fun fun game with a lot of action. Looking forward to the 2nd half and reading more blogs!

Posted by: Ryan Malone at July 16, 2008 3:32 PM

Great article Judd, engaging as usual…
I would like to extend my congratulations Justin Morneau, you’re a STAR!!!
He looked so calm and collected during the entire competition …
I liked his humble tone with his speech after the win.

Posted by: Sugar Pop at July 17, 2008 11:01 AM

..nothing like rollin out of bed at 11:28 a.m. and seeing "johnny bench" spittin some early game on this "KICKASS" article...A)The Home Run Hitting Contest is by far one of my "FAVORITE" joys of a Baseball Season...the Fans LOVE IT, B)Gamblers can bet on it...and I will toot my own horn on this one...C)I took Morneau for $100 at 5-1 Odds ...cha ching...

Favorite article yet..Spice-man.

Posted by: Lucky at July 17, 2008 11:41 AM

I'm with Malone on the Tigers being the club down. Way too much hype about them before the season as being "the team" to be as far back as they are at the break and too high of a payroll. If the Twins are going to win the central they need to find a consistant bat at the DH and cut ties with Monroe.

Posted by: Pat at July 17, 2008 11:57 AM

Losing "The Chief" was a blessing. Not only did it clear some money, but it made way for Slowey and Blackburn. Everyone in these parts was lauging their a**es off when the Mariners signed him to that much cash. What were they thinking? ...no wonder thy're 20 out AND their manager is gone AND their GM is gone... Rumor is that the next to be gone is Beltre...coming to us! Any inside scoop on those rumors?

Posted by: Twins Fan at July 17, 2008 4:04 PM

Twins Fan- Sadly, no. I'm about as inside as Mike Lamb. But as for those usurping his once-starting slot, I don't see the Beltre thing happening. He's due $12 million next year. This year, our top money guy is Morneau at about $5.5 million. 4 other guys are making $5 million or more. That's just too much scratch for us. At a solid Twins blog, "Over the Baggy," the host recently penned a sharp article speculating on some more realistic 3B options, Kevin Kouzmanoff of San Diego and Garrett Atkins of Colorado.

Really, the only truly entertaining baseball story to come out of Seattle this year can be found be clicking on my URL for this re-Comment.

Posted by: Judd at July 18, 2008 10:28 AM

Post a comment




Remember Me?

(you may use HTML tags for style)

back to top

City Pages Insiders

  • Local food, music and news blasts
  • Free Stuff