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I’m a bit of a wagering man, and my gambler’s instincts tell me that today is the time to get Francisco Liriano back in the Show. This opinion is born from that gambler’s sensation that when you’re rolling -- as the Twins are-- you ride the shit out of the wave before the crest recoils and slaps you back down to the sand and seaweed.
The club has continually maintained that Liriano will only be brought back in a starter’s role. Given the collective, outstanding performance of the starting staff, that’s almost to say that, “We’re just waiting until someone gets hurt before Liriano gets another crack up here.”
But there are just too many factors at play to walk that simplistic of a line anymore. True, to say that Twins’ “deciders” are batting well with decisions in scoring position would be my understatement of the season. Really, almost everything that nascent GM Bill “I desperately need a cooler name” Smith has put his hand to has proven to be right, correct and just. Except this situation.
Liriano is now 7-2 with a 3.53 for AAA Rochester, with 86 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.16 -- all team-bests amongst starters. More importantly, he’s won four straight starts, having walked just 4 while striking out 27 in that span. In his last 3, he’s gone at least 6 innings in each start and given up 0 earned runs combined.
Reading between the lines of quotes from Gardy or pitching coach Rick Anderson, it seems readily apparent that they fear for the balance of Liriano’s still-young psyche should he be brought back up before they think it’s time, and again fail as he did earlier in the season. But my thoughts lean toward the inverse: it’s the continued time away that will damage Liriano. The more he’s separated from the level where he should be competing, the further and further away said promotion and opportunity will seem.
For a more professional analysis of such thought-process, I decided to call up Mr. Dave Austin, California-based performance coach who has earned deserved accolades for working with major leaguers Luke Scott of Baltimore and our own Scott Baker, the latter of which has be referenced herein back in April. While it should be directly noted that Mr. Austin does not claim Liriano as a client, he was kind enough to talk about the general mindset of a player in Liriano’s position:
“What I find, as per baseball call-ups and call-downs, players on their way up in A ball or AA, there’s an excitement,” Austin told me. “But when you get to AAA, it’s kind of like you’re in purgatory. No one belongs in AAA -- in their mindset. There are so many players that I work with that are on that cusp of the majors, and it’s tough. Players need to really rise up, and be focused just on what they need to do. They can’t get carried away with thinking, ‘What does this mean? What do they think of me?’ The minute those thoughts start interfering with the mindset, say for a position player, then how are they going to hit a 95-mph fastball?”
So what does Austin advise for success?
“I tell the players that it doesn’t matter where they are playing, it matters what they do. Too many players are, ‘Well, I’ll be happy when I get there.’ No, learn how to be happy here.”
But when can that psyche crack, and go south?
“It’s when players start worrying about the ‘What if’s?’ Worry is only good for one thing: more worry,” Austin concludes. “The doubt starts sinking in. A player thinks he’s done everything, but that he’s not being recognized for it. Then he starts losing the core belief system in himself. Then he starts falling apart.”
I won’t pretend to know where Liriano’s brain gels amongst these mindsets, but as per “falling apart,” well, the numbers married to such phrasing can presently to stitched onto the respective jersey’s of two guys taking a slot that should belong to “The Franchise.”
In short: Boof Bonser has tossed a total of 9.2 innings since June 11th, having given up 11 earned runs in that stretch. Brian Bass has seen action in 6 July games, although his ERA is a leviathan 12.71 in those outings, and truly, the journeyman has just one month with an ERA under 3 (June, 2.45).
Much, too much in fact, has and is and will be made about Liriano not being a reliever, about the Twins not needing another lefty in the pen, and about Bonser’s potential to be a fine pitcher some day. Above all else, Francisco Liriano isn’t a left-handed pitcher or a starting pitcher. He’s a baseball player. And he should be a Twin, wherever and however they fit him into the puzzle.
Sports fans, I’m looking at the standings today and seeing our upstart club just 1.5 games back of a questionable White Sox bunch. Now isn’t the time for potential or prudence, it’s time to throw all the chips on the table.
I had initially planned to pen today’s post on the July 31st trade deadline. But why crunch out a slew of unlikely scenarios, when the best guy we’re going to add is already in our hands?
UPDATE:
After construction of this post, it was reported by Ken Rosenthal at FoxSports.com that Liriano's agent, Greg Genske "contacted the players' association about pursuing a grievance, and the union agreed to investigate whether the Twins are violating the collective-bargaining agreement" by keeping Liriano in the minors.
"He's now dominating," Genske told Fox. "The team agrees he's dominating. (The union) has agreed that there is reasonable cause to open an investigation to see whether the Twins, by leaving him in the minors, are violating his rights in the Basic Agreement."
Genske added that Liriano is "extremely frustrated" about his situation. I guess we now have some additional insight into the mindset discussed above.
To read the Rosenthal piece, please click here.
Posted by Judd Spicer at July 18, 2008 4:03 AM
« The Twins strike out against homelessness | Main | Extreme Race Day at Canterbury Park »
Great article! Liriano needs to be patient and wait for his shot though. No sense in creating bad blood with the organization that signs your paychecks and inks your contract.
Posted by: Johnny Bench at July 18, 2008 8:32 AM
Hey Judd,
I like how you were able to facilitate Canterbury Park teaming up with the Minnesota State Lottery to run an add on your blog page. Fits well with the theme of the day. As always, great stuff. ST
Posted by: Indonesia Loves the Twins! at July 18, 2008 1:04 PM
I couldn't disagree with you more on this one...there are 81 games remaining and to me, that is not time to throw all the proverbial chips on the table just yet. Austin, as you have shown, is a smart man and provides good insight on calling triple-A 'purgatory' - Austin also states that 'people have to be happy about being here' - sure, Liriano is frustrated, but I firmly believe that Smith, Gardy and Anderson should talk with him and make a plan and some goals to shoot for - he'll reach them and that will might just give him the mental confidence he needs to do well. There are 67 games remaining...come up with a plan and a goal that takes us to about game 30 or 35 - around mid to late august - in that time, Liriano can focus on what he needs to do in order to come up at that time firing on all cylinders...I am not sure of all of the rules, but I am pretty sure you can still bring him up at that time...there would be about 30 games remaining - and then, I believe it is time to throw all the chips on the table and make a run for it. If we are in the hunt for a penant, then you would have a pitcher eager throw smoke and the all the confidence to do so.
Just as an aside, I couldn't help but read Austin's comments and change the word 'player' with the word 'entrepreneur'...
Posted by: Ryan Malone at July 18, 2008 1:18 PM
Good article Judd,
The guy is pitching 3.53 against a crowd that doesn't "belong" there. Wasn't the reason for sending him to Rochester you mentioned a couple months back that he should get a little more confidence back in his elbow and arm and realize it is not gonna get hurt again? Time to bring Liriano back into the rotation. I believe we fulfilled what we set out for to begin with by sending him down.
Posted by: Life is Good at July 20, 2008 7:12 AM
It's definitely time to bring Liriano back. If the club won't go for a 6-man rotation, then Bonser has got to go. I think he'll give us the added spark and excitement that will get us into 1st place. If we leave him down there too long, it will have a negative affect on the club and Liriano.
Posted by: Ashley at July 20, 2008 11:28 AM
The time to get Liriano back in the rotation is now. There will no doubt be a period of adjustment for the kid to get back to that dominating form he had last year. Dominating AAA is one thing, doing at the bigs is entirely different. I for one would like to see him get at least a dozen starts before the playoffs, and of course win a few along the way.
Posted by: Gabe-O at July 20, 2008 11:59 PM
A Liriano UPDATE in Comment form. Twins GM Bill Smith was quoted by Sid Hartman today as saying regarding Liriano's union grievance , "They are just asking questions. The union is just doing their preliminary investigation. We are very confident in the end that they will find everything is fine and we'll move on."
Regarding the pitcher readiness for the Show, he added: "I don't think he is as good right now as he was beforehand [surgery]. He is doing well in Triple-A. We won't know until we get him back up here."
Liriano added to his crazy minor league run on 7/17 with 8 innings of 1 run ball (no walks). Look for him to go either tomorrow or Wednesday against Toledo.
Unless something else happens first ...
Posted by: Judd at July 21, 2008 1:17 PM
All I know is that no matter how dominant he is, it should be the GM and manager making roster decisions and not agents and economics. This is just a bum power play by Genske.
Posted by: Twins Fan at July 21, 2008 4:35 PM
I'd like to get Liriano in my rotation...and the Twins rotation for that matter. The time is now!
Posted by: Balls Fan at July 23, 2008 2:30 PM
Good article, especially adding the last piece. Well now that time has passed, i'm wondering? DO you see validity in Francisco's agents claim? I personally believe the twins organization to do something like that. it's really sad when they think money over just plain winning. I read the article, and i would like to see where you stand now, given the recent twins performance, and Lirano's performance. DO you think that the Twins are being genuine in their sentiments, or does something stench of poor business practices...you impression sir, & great article again.
Posted by: efe at July 24, 2008 10:30 AM
efe- The stench I smell is coming via Greg "Bob Sugar" Genske, Liriano's agent. Yeah, this is his job, however, when the service time numbers are truly crunched, there is no way that Liriano could qualify anymore anyway, for either arbitration, or to be what is called a "Super Two," a small percentage of dudes who still qualify despite less time in the Bigs. Genske's job is to "think money," as you aptly state. It just shows, however, what a slimy bunch agents can be when it comes to a team mentality. The Twins are guilty of no wrong-doing in this regard, sans their stubbornness to keep a few dregs in the Show while Liriano- in my personal opinion- could truly help them in the bullpen at this important juncture.
Posted by: Judd at July 24, 2008 5:11 PM